Top PF going into 2012-2013, #8 Josh Smith

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We continue our countdown of the top power forwards heading into the 2012-2013 NBA season with Josh Smith of the Atlanta Hawks at #8. Josh Smith had a breakout year this last season, and should have been an All-Star in the minds of many. Smith is known for his plays above the rim on both the offensive and defensive end of the floor. For the 2011-2012 campaign he averaged 18.8 PPG 9.6 RBP (both career highs), and was up to his usual tricks on the defensive end. Once the playoffs began, he turned it up to another level against the veteran Boston Celtics averaging 16.8 PPG and an incredible 13.6 RBP.
Smith benefitted from two things this year. The first, is better perimeter defense by his teammates, this allowed Smith to become a TRUE help side defender instead having to constantly help, as his teammates were beat off the dribble again and again. The second, is more trust from coach Larry Drew on the offensive end. Smith's points came off a variety of ways. Post ups, and plenty of fast break opportunities with the occasional highlight reel.  Smith's transition from defense to offensive is great, he runs the floor like a guard and can finish with the best of them. Smith is a crafty post up player, he loves to go to his left, and will shoot a hook shot over his left shoulder. Not only does he run the floor like a deer, but his ability to finish over the rim is amazing.
Take this play, The Hawks were having a terrible offensive possession and because of Smith it culminated with a momentum shifter at a crucial point in the game. There was no offensive strategy in that play, no polished offensive skill from anybody, just a straight athletic play made on one of the league's most feared shot blockers. Smith's Athletic ability and freakish body gives him intangibles that cannot be taught. Now, if we take a second look at that clip, it  shows us one of the problems that have kept Smith from becoming a better player. Smith has an inexplicable love for shooting jumpshots, something he is not very good at.
Smith last season took over 400 shots from 16ft to the 3 point line. He also took 109 3-point shots of which he only made an abysmal 28 for a 27% clip from beyond the arc. Whereas he only took 363 shots at the rim for a very good 68% clip. He only shot 32% on jumpshots and 63% from the free throw line. The bottom line is Smith is hurting his team and himself by shooting jumpshots, so why take them? If he's going to work on jumpshots he might as well spend the time working on his free throw shooting.
Smith is avery gifted player, he's a great one on one defender and a lethal shot blocker. Whether it's on one on one, help side defense or fast break defense, Smith will get it done on the defensive end. His versatility allows him to switch on pick and rolls and guard smaller perimeter players. In addition, it is rewarding to see his rebounding at all time high, he virtually averaged a double double at 9.7 RBP and also had a career high 15.9 % TRB (TRB is the total rebound percentage, it tells us the percentage of rebounds that Smith captured while he was on the floor). Offensively he averaged close to 20 points, and provides high energy baskets for his team. If Smith learns to stay close to the rim and take as few jumpers as possible ( As well as eliminate the three point shot completely) his offensive game will grow. If he manages that, look for Smith to stay a top 10 PF for a long time, and eventually make an All-Star Team.
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Top PF going into 2012-2013, #9 Amar'e Stoudemire

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We continue our countdown of the top power forwards heading into the 2012-2013 season with Amar'e Stoudemire of the New York Knicks at #9. Now, Stoudemire is a player that gets and will continue to get mixed feelings from the basketball world. Last season he had his worse season as a pro since his rookie year. He averaged 17.5 PPG, 7.8 RPG, on 48% from the field. Then came the playoff, and Amar'e's incident with the fire extinguisher. His playoff numbers were even worse: 15.3 PPG, 6.5 RPG, on 55% shooting. Despite playing well below his standards, it is very difficult to find 10 power forwards with numbers as good as his.
There are several key problems when it comes to Stoudemire. The first is the league wide assumption that he cannot play with Carmelo Anthony. It is a valid argument, D'antoni system or not, before Melo got to New York Stoudemire was wrecking havoc in the league, but ever since Melo arrive he has not been the same. Another issue is his health, whether by his own fault or not, Stoudemire continues to find nagging injuries at the wrong times. He injured his back two playoffs ago against the Celtics in a meaningless warmup dunk, and this season we saw the fire extinguisher issue against the Heat. That being said we are talking about a 21.6 career PPG scorer and perennial All-Star.
Stoudemire is a 6-11 physical specimen, he has no post game and rarely would you see him get his points with a back to the basket move. He has a great jumpshot, and although he does not shoot the 3 with regularity he can knock the shot down. Take these two baskets here, and a couple of things jump at you. The first, is that Stoudemire has a very good form and quick release. Usually, big men who can shoot need time and space, but Amar'e is one of the elite bigs who can get his shot off quickly and with pressure. The second thing that jumps out at you is the readiness and easiness with which he takes the 3 point shot, he looks comfortable taking that shot.
Amar'e is also an elite athlete, he has an uncountable amount of poster dunks and a lethal first step. His upper body strength allows him to go through contact and finish. It is one of the most intriguing facets of Stoudemire's game, he has no post moves what so ever, and outside of his jumpshot he  simply muscles his way through defenders. Amar'e is also any point guard's dream teammate for the pick and roll game. He is a nightmare for defenses on the pick and roll and pop. He can either pop out and shoot the jumpshot or attack the rim with a very high chance of this happening.
Stoudemire could easily be higher on this list, and we expect him to be after next season. His problems on offense have a remedy, and even playing alongside Melo if he can stay healthy for a full season, he will no doubt have a better season than this year. Stoudemire's rise on this list also relies heavily on the Defensive end of the floor. He has never been known as a defensive player but with his height and athletic ability he should be able to play well above average defense. He is not an elite shot blocker and his one on one defense is suspect to say the least. Take this play, Stoudemire is picked on an inbound play and he does not show any interest in even trying to fight through the screen.
Amar'e is an elite player in the NBA, he will no doubt rebound from an abysmal year. With a training camp this season and a summer working with Olajuwon problems of starting the season out of shape will no longer be a factor. Even without becoming a better defender, (after all he has been in the league for 11 years now) he will rise on this list. We expect him to have a bounce back season offensively, but in order for him to really take a dramatic jump, he must become a better defender and combine that with his gifted offensive skills. If he does that, and learns how to play with Carmelo Anthony then get ready to see a lot more of Stoudemire come playoff time.
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Now that the Linsanity Drama is over, how good can this Knicks team be?

Jeremy Lin is gone, whether fans like it or not he will not return and will be nothing more than gossip over the next months. Now its time to pose the question, how good will this New york Knicks team? They have resigned JR Smith and signed veteran PG Jason Kidd, Iman Shumpert continues to recover from a torn ACL and Raymond Felton was acquired from Portland. In addtion, they will of course have their monster frontcourt of Melo, Stoudemire, and Chandler back. Coach Mike Woodson will have an entire season and a full training camp with his team. So how good can this team realistically be?
First, everybody knows that the Miami Heat are the favorites to repeat as champions. In the minds of most it is a foregone conclusion that they will come out the Eastern Conference (barring Injury or a major change). After the Heat however, the Eastern Conference is wide open. There will be 3 other spots available with at least fhome court advantage in the first round. Indiana has resigned Roy Hibbert and George Hill and have their core in check. They will have home court advantage in the first round, whether the second third or fourth seed (we believe third or fourth). The Boston Celtics will also be back in the mix, Kevin Garnett may be old, but he was deadly in last year's playoffs. They have signed Jason Terry, and Brandon Bass will be back. Avery Bradley will be healthy to go along with Rondo in the backcourt so look for this Celtics team to make a run at the Eastern Conference again (once again barring injury).  The Brooklyn Nets have made a lot of moves and will definitely be in the playoffs. They have positioned themselves to acquire Howard after January because that is when Brook Lopez will be available for trade. If they get Howard, they will catapult themselves into championship contention, and if they dont they are still a very good team. Kris Humphries is a double double machine, and people forget how good Brook Lopez is. He is a career 17 PPG scorer, and has yet to have a full season playing with a true PG like Deron Williams, who was forced to be more of a scorer for the last year and a half because of the team's lack of scoring options. They will also challenge for home court in the first round and will definitely be no worse than 5th in the conference.
The Knicks have several issues, the most glaring one being the fact that Carmelo Anthony and Stoudemire cannot play together because of Melo's dominance of the ball. When Melo touches the ball, the flow and movement of the basketball stops. Perhaps if the Knicks had acquired Steve Nash (who played with Stoudemire in the years that Phoenix was part of the elite of the Western Conference) things would have been different. They have Jason Kidd, but at this point in his career how much of a difference can he really make? Stoudemire is coming off one of the worse if not THE worse season of his career. Before Melo was traded to the Knicks Stoudemire was averaging over 25 points and was breaking Knick's scoring records. With the arrival of Melo? things have gone south. Stoudemire is the Knicks second best player. if Melo is 1A, then Stoudemire needs to be 1B for them to truly be successful.
Now, at this point Successful isnt making the playoffs. Successful for them is making a run at the championship. They need to be a better defensive team, Iman Shumpert was their best defender and he was a ROOKIE. He is coming off a torn ACL and will take some time for him to get back in his groove. The Knicks also struggled shooting the 3 last year, and they had the best 3 point shooter in the league in Steve Novak who shot a blistering 47%. After Novak though, it was abysmal, Jason Kidd should help in that category and Felton will look to help Stoudemire regain his dominance as he was with Amar'e before the Melo trade. Ultimately, it comes down to whether Melo and Stoudemire can make it work, they are their two best players and unfortunately neither plays defense. The Knicks will be no higher than third in the Eastern Conference and we see them as no more than the second round at best.
News around the league
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-Miami Heat are interested in Greg Oden
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